COMMERCIAL BANK CREDIT AND AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT IN NIGERIA (1982-2007)
ABSTRACT
This research examined the impact of commercial bank credit for agricultural production in Nigeria using macroeconomic variables (of commercial bank credit and agricultural products). The overall objective of the study is to examine to what extent the credits of commercial banks had supported agricultural production Nigeria. The specific objectives are: (i) to determine the impact of trade credit banks on agricultural production in Nigeria, and (i) to determine the impact of agricultural production on economic growth in Nigeria. The methodology adopted for the study was ordinary least squares (OLS) involving t-test of the student, to test the significance of the individual parameter estimate, the F-test, to test the significance of the regression plane overall, adjusted R2 and R2 to test the joint influence of the explanatory variables on the dependent variable. Finally, Durbin-Watson statistics (DW) was used to verify the presence or absence of serial correlation data. After the regression, the result shows that: firstly, agricultural production and the commercial bank credit to agriculture and the real interest rate have contributed to economic growth in Nigeria. Second, there is general agreement that Nigeria agricultural sector is severely underfunded. Finally, the share of actual expenditures that went to the agricultural sector in relation to adverse action that went to other sectors. Based on the foregoing, the researcher has the fluidity suggestions: It is necessary to improve the monitoring system of public expenditure in the agricultural sector. There is also the need to clarify the roles of the three levels of government in the provision of agricultural services.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Cover Page .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
Title Page .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
Certification .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
i Dedication .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
ii Acknowledgement .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
iii Abstract .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
iv Table of Contents .. .. .. .. .. ..
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION .. .. .. .. .. ..
1.1 Background of the Study .. .. .. .. ..
1 1.2 Statement of Problem .. .. .. .. .. .. 12
1.3 Objectives of the Study .. .. .. .. .. 15
1.4 Statement of Hypothesis … .. .. .. .. 16
1.5 Significance of the Study .. .. .. .. 16
1.6 Scope and Limitations of the Study .. .. ..
17 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Theoretical Literature .. .. .. .. .. 18
2.1.1 Agriculture As A Passive Contributor to Economic Development (Classical School of 1950s and 1960s). .. .. .. .. .. .. 30
2.1.2 Agricultural led Industrialization (Classical School of 1970s and 1980s) .. .. .. 31
2.1.3 Agricultural Linkages And Growth and Development .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 32
2.1.4 Problems Associated with Agricultural Development 36 2.1.5 Empirical Literature .. .. .. .. .. .. 45
2.2.1 Agriculture and Poverty Reduction .. .. .. 46
2.2.2 Agriculture and Nutrition .. .. .. .. .. 47
CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Methodology .. .. .. .. .. . . .. 51
3.2 Area of Study and Coverage .. … …. .. 52
3.3 Model Specification .. .. .. .. .. .. 52
3.4 Data Sources .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 53
3.5 Method of Evaluation .. .. .. .. .. 54
CHAPTER FOUR
PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
4.1 Unit Root Test .. .. .. .. .. .. 59
4.2 Co-Integration Test .. .. .. .. .. .. 61
4.3 Economic Opinion, Interpretation .. .. .. 63
4.4 Statistical Criteria of the Result .. .. .. .. 65
4.5 Econometric Criteria of the Result .. .. .. 68
CHAPTER FIVE
SUMMARY, RECOMMENDATION AND CONCLUSION
5.1 Summary of Findings .. .. .. .. .. 67
5.2 Policy Recommendation .. .. .. .. .. 68
5.3 Conclusion .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 70
Bibliography .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
Appendix .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
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