TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF PEOPLE SUFFERING FROM MALARIA, TYPHOID AND CHOLERA (A CASE STUDY OF ABIA STATE UNIVERSITY TEACHING HOSPITAL)

TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF PEOPLE SUFFERING FROM MALARIA, TYPHOID AND CHOLERA (A CASE STUDY OF ABIA STATE UNIVERSITY TEACHING HOSPITAL)

ABSTRACT

This research project is  time series analysis of people suffering from malaria, typhoid and cholera, a case study for Abia State teaching hospital Aba. It was motivated by the necessity to improve the data of people suffering from malaria, typhoid and cholera in Abia State from 1991- 2006.

The chapter one of this project gives an insight on the objective of the study which include determing if there is increase in the average number of patients suffering from malaria and to know whether this has any existing relationship among the average people suffering from typhoid the approaches to illness, its significance on patients

The chapter two reviews so many literatures on the time series analysis of the various sickeness.

The data used for this project was a secondary data gotten from the Abia State teaching hospital Aba and a simple on malaria, typhoid and cholera was taken to analyze using time series and regression analysis.

Finally, the research recommended that teaching should organized enlightment programme on the need to have a regular routine check up against in the state.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Title page

Certification page

Dedication

Acknowledgement

Abstract

Table of contents

CHAPTER ONE

• Introduction

1.1  History background of the study

1.2  Aim  Objectives of the study

1.3  Significance of the study

1.4  Statement of the problem

1.5  Statement of Hypothesis

1.6  Purpose of the study

1.7  Limitation of the study

1.8  Scope of the study

CHAPTER TWO

• Literature review

2.1  Introduction

2.2  Definition of time series

2.3  Component of time series

2.4  Time series model

2.5  Estimation of linear trend

2.6  Time series application of the study of disease

2.7  Historical background of the case of study

2.8  Definition of term.

CHAPTER THREE

• Research Methodology

3.1     Introduction

3.2     Sources of data

3.3     Sampling procedures

3.4     Method of data analysis

3.4.1   Time series analysis

3.4.2.   Regression analysis

3.5      Simple regression

3.6      Depersonalization of time series

CHAPTER FOUR

• Data presentation and analysis

4.1  Introduction

4.2  Data analysis

4.3  Estimating parameter

4.3  Regression analysis

CHAPTER ONE

• INTRODUCTION

This project deals with the peculiarity that human health is extremely important in every society. This is because of the fact that a society filled with unhealthy people cannot excel both in society development and otherwise.

After the creation of Abia State in 1991, the state government put much of their attention on agriculture, education, health service industries and other institution of finance.

In the health sector, the government major duty is to provide enabling environment in such a way to equip health center and hospitals in other to maintain or achieve good and for her citizens. Available audience from health care auathorites has it that the rate of admission into hospitals is on the increase of people suffering various illness, which are numerous to mention. Some of these disease has contributed to the loss of human life even the life of those who could have reshaped the economy or the society. The situation is not safe for the future leaders because they are likely to suffer from these deadly disease which will be prevented or controlled. The fact is that many researcher has been to avail the cause of this disease and some lasting solution to some of them. However, some statistical work has been carried out to ascertain the occurance of these disease which follows specific pattern or procedure over the year. And this will enable us to know what this sudy will   achieve.

1.1  HISTORICAL BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY

       Abia State university Teaching Hospital was established in the year 1994 by Col. Ike Chinyere Nwosu (RTD) who was the military administrator of Abia State. Abia State university Teaching Hospital was formerly known as the Abia general hospital for training or medical doctors for the Abia State college of Medical and health science, Uturu. The decision was seen by many as a grant to strive in provision of quality tertiary health care service for our citizens in the eastern heartland including Akwa Ibom, Cross River, Ebonyi, Imo and some part of Bayelsa and Rivers.

In 1995, when the second management board of teaching hospital was appointed, the board was specifically changed to Ngoro pursue and achieve the accredited both by National University commission (NUC) and the Medical and Neutral Council of Nigeria (MNCN) for the award of agree and graduation of medical doctor. Since then, the teaching hospital has grasped with commitment mission and challenge which include the provision of high level tertiary health care, training of medical and para-medical personnel and research. In June 1996, with the collaboration of the college of medical and health science of Abia State University, Uturu, it graduated its pioneer batch medical doctor numbering nine and since then, subsequent other batches of medical doctor have passed out of the institution. ABSUTH was designated as a baby friendly hospital by the World Health Organization (WHO).

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