A STATISTICAL APPRAISAL ACCIDENT RATE
The aim of this project is to analyze the appraisal of road traffic accident rate on Enugu – Onitsha Express Road. The data on the number of recorded road traffic accident rate on Enugu – Onitsha Express road from 1995 – 2002 was collected and organized on quarters. The trend equation was calculated from the date, which follows linear trend with the trend values, the seasonal indexes for the four seasons of the year was calculated. Projection of the value and forecasting with the trend value equations and seasonal index was not left out.
According to Oxford Learners Dictionary accident is defined as something that happens without a cause that can been seen at once, usually something unfortunate and undesirable. This means that accident can happen at anytime, anywhere and any moment. In most cases accident result from carelessness or recklessness. Road accident may be said to occur when many vehicles do not meet the safety requirement of the traffic operation. Road accident have become a major problem in the country, many people both old young have lost their lives as a result of road accident.
The rate of accident in this state varies from time to time and increase during the end of the year and decreases at the beginning of the year and also the number of cars double for the fact that during this period, the number of not or vehicle are more than doubled, odes not mean that the roads becomes less safer. Why then is it that the rate of road accident in Enugu – Onitsha Express Road is not stable as other roads in the state. The answer is that first, we lack sufficient collective will to put an end once and for all, to the perils caused us by road accident. Second, our understanding of the situation is low because of the fragment nature of its occurrence (is not how many people or families are affected at a time and this has made people to slow down, I don’t care to behaviaour it). It does happen because we cannot predict its period of occurrence.